England U21 vs Kazakhstan U21

25 Sep 2026 · 20:30

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +1.1 pp

England U21

Kazakhstan U21

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 95.3% DRAW 2.8% AWAY 1.9%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 94.3% 1.04 DRAW 3.7% 26.62 AWAY 2.1% 46.80

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 1.1 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: England U21

The home side shows the stronger recent attacking profile, while the defensive comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

England U21 Kazakhstan U21

Shots 14.0 · On target 6.0 Shots 7.0 · On target 2.3

Recent attacking output favours England U21, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

England U21 Kazakhstan U21

Shots allowed 8.5 · On target allowed 2.3 Shots allowed 8.3 · On target allowed 3.3

Recent defensive numbers are broadly balanced between the two teams.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

England U21 Kazakhstan U21

The combined recent performance profile favours England U21.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Away strengthening

England U21 ↓ -0.02 (-1.4%)

Kazakhstan U21 ↓ -8.35 (-15.2%)

The away price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the away side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.