Iceland U21 vs France U21

25 Sep 2026 · 17:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +0.6 pp

Iceland U21

France U21

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 9.1% DRAW 18.5% AWAY 72.4%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 9.3% 10.30 DRAW 18.9% 5.10 AWAY 71.8% 1.34

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 0.6 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

France U21 has the stronger recent profile

The away side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

Iceland U21 France U21

Shots 10.8 · On target 4.5 Shots 15.8 · On target 5.8

Recent attacking output favours France U21, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Iceland U21 France U21

Shots allowed 8.0 · On target allowed 3.5 Shots allowed 5.5 · On target allowed 2.5

France U21 has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Iceland U21 France U21

The combined recent performance profile favours France U21.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Home strengthening

Iceland U21 ↓ -0.60 (-5.5%)

France U21 ↑ +0.06 (+4.4%)

The home price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the home side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.