Switzerland U21 vs Luxembourg U21

25 Sep 2026 · 19:30

OPPORTUNITY

SLIGHT EDGE HOME +3.2 pp

Switzerland U21

Luxembourg U21

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 80.5% DRAW 12.9% AWAY 6.6%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 77.3% 1.23 DRAW 14.7% 6.45 AWAY 7.9% 12.00

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet sees a slight edge for Switzerland U21 relative to the market.

Our calibrated model estimates a 80.5% win probability, compared with 77.3% implied by the market. The 3.2 percentage-point difference suggests a modest divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Switzerland U21

The home side shows the stronger recent attacking profile, while the defensive comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Switzerland U21 Luxembourg U21

Shots 16.5 · On target 6.5 Shots 3.0 · On target 1.3

Recent attacking output favours Switzerland U21, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Switzerland U21 Luxembourg U21

Shots allowed 10.5 · On target allowed 3.0 Shots allowed 7.5 · On target allowed 3.0

Recent defensive numbers are broadly balanced between the two teams.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Switzerland U21 Luxembourg U21

The combined recent performance profile favours Switzerland U21.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Away strengthening

Switzerland U21 ↓ -0.06 (-4.3%)

Luxembourg U21 ↓ -2.10 (-15.0%)

The away price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the away side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.