Estonia U21 vs Faroe Islands U21

25 Sep 2026 · 18:00

OPPORTUNITY

SLIGHT EDGE HOME +3.0 pp

Estonia U21

Faroe Islands U21

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 37.0% DRAW 27.5% AWAY 35.5%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 34.0% 2.82 DRAW 27.7% 3.46 AWAY 38.3% 2.50

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet sees a slight edge for Estonia U21 relative to the market.

Our calibrated model estimates a 37.0% win probability, compared with 34.0% implied by the market. The 3.0 percentage-point difference suggests a modest divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

Estonia U21 has the stronger recent profile

The home side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

Estonia U21 Faroe Islands U21

Shots 7.5 · On target 3.3 Shots 5.0 · On target 1.3

Recent attacking output favours Estonia U21, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Estonia U21 Faroe Islands U21

Shots allowed 19.3 · On target allowed 6.5 Shots allowed 21.3 · On target allowed 6.8

Recent defensive numbers are broadly balanced between the two teams.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Estonia U21 Faroe Islands U21

The combined recent performance profile favours Estonia U21.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Home weakening

Estonia U21 ↑ +0.32 (+12.8%)

Faroe Islands U21 = (0.0%)

The home price has moved clearly higher, while the away price has remained broadly stable.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.