Latvia U21 vs Germany U21

26 Sep 2026 · 18:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +2.2 pp

Latvia U21

Germany U21

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 2.6% DRAW 5.2% AWAY 92.2%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 3.3% 29.00 DRAW 6.6% 14.50 AWAY 90.0% 1.07

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 2.2 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Germany U21 has the stronger recent profile

The away side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

Latvia U21 Germany U21

Shots 8.5 · On target 3.3 Shots 24.5 · On target 9.5

Recent attacking output favours Germany U21, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Latvia U21 Germany U21

Shots allowed 12.8 · On target allowed 4.0 Shots allowed 7.8 · On target allowed 2.8

Germany U21 has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Latvia U21 Germany U21

The combined recent performance profile favours Germany U21.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

Latvia U21 = (0.0%)

Germany U21 ↓ 0.00 (-0.1%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.