San Jose Earthquakes vs Portland Timbers

27 Sep 2026 · 04:30

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +0.5 pp

San Jose Earthquakes

Portland Timbers

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 48.7% DRAW 23.0% AWAY 28.4%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 48.1% 2.02 DRAW 23.8% 4.10 AWAY 28.1% 3.47

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 0.5 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Defensive Edge: San Jose Earthquakes

Recent attacking and defensive numbers do not show a clear overall edge.

Attack Recent attacking output

San Jose Earthquakes Portland Timbers

Shots 11.3 · On target 4.5 Shots 16.3 · On target 3.8

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

San Jose Earthquakes Portland Timbers

Shots allowed 10.3 · On target allowed 4.0 Shots allowed 11.8 · On target allowed 5.0

Recent defensive numbers are broadly balanced between the two teams.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

San Jose Earthquakes Portland Timbers

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

San Jose Earthquakes ↓ -0.05 (-2.5%)

Portland Timbers ↑ +0.07 (+2.1%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.