CF Montreal vs FC Cincinnati

27 Sep 2026 · 01:30

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +1.5 pp

CF Montreal

FC Cincinnati

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 33.4% DRAW 24.5% AWAY 42.1%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 34.2% 2.85 DRAW 25.2% 3.87 AWAY 40.6% 2.40

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 1.5 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: FC Cincinnati

The away side shows the stronger recent attacking profile, while the defensive comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

CF Montreal FC Cincinnati

Shots 10.8 · On target 4.3 Shots 17.3 · On target 6.0

Recent attacking output favours FC Cincinnati, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

CF Montreal FC Cincinnati

Shots allowed 14.0 · On target allowed 4.3 Shots allowed 14.8 · On target allowed 5.0

Recent defensive numbers are broadly balanced between the two teams.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

CF Montreal FC Cincinnati

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

CF Montreal ↑ +0.10 (+3.8%)

FC Cincinnati ↓ -0.06 (-2.5%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.