Charlotte FC vs Chicago Fire

27 Sep 2026 · 01:30

OPPORTUNITY

CLEAR EDGE AWAY +4.2 pp

Charlotte FC

Chicago Fire

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 39.8% DRAW 23.4% AWAY 36.8%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 43.3% 2.25 DRAW 24.1% 4.05 AWAY 32.5% 3.00

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet rates Chicago Fire clearly higher than the market does.

Our calibrated model estimates a 36.8% win probability, compared with 32.5% implied by the market. The 4.2 percentage-point difference indicates a clear divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

Defensive Edge: Chicago Fire

The away side shows the stronger recent defensive profile, while the attacking comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Charlotte FC Chicago Fire

Shots 10.5 · On target 4.5 Shots 13.8 · On target 4.0

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Charlotte FC Chicago Fire

Shots allowed 22.0 · On target allowed 8.0 Shots allowed 12.8 · On target allowed 5.5

Chicago Fire has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Charlotte FC Chicago Fire

The combined recent performance profile favours Chicago Fire.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

Charlotte FC ↓ 0.00 (-0.1%)

Chicago Fire ↑ +0.10 (+3.2%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.