San Diego FC vs San Jose Earthquakes

10 Sep 2026 · 04:30

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +0.4 pp

San Diego FC

San Jose Earthquakes

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 58.2% DRAW 20.6% AWAY 21.2%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 57.7% 1.75 DRAW 21.5% 4.71 AWAY 20.8% 4.86

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 0.4 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: San Diego FC

The away side shows the stronger recent defensive profile, while the attacking comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

San Diego FC San Jose Earthquakes

Shots 13.5 · On target 4.8 Shots 13.0 · On target 4.3

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

San Diego FC San Jose Earthquakes

Shots allowed 12.5 · On target allowed 5.3 Shots allowed 11.8 · On target allowed 4.3

Recent defensive numbers are broadly balanced between the two teams.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

San Diego FC San Jose Earthquakes

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

San Diego FC ↑ +0.04 (+2.6%)

San Jose Earthquakes ↑ +0.34 (+7.5%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.