Portland Timbers vs St. Louis City SC

10 Sep 2026 · 04:30

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +1.0 pp

Portland Timbers

St. Louis City SC

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 39.4% DRAW 24.1% AWAY 36.5%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 38.4% 2.54 DRAW 24.8% 3.93 AWAY 36.8% 2.65

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 1.0 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Portland Timbers

Recent attacking and defensive numbers do not show a clear overall edge.

Attack Recent attacking output

Portland Timbers St. Louis City SC

Shots 10.8 · On target 5.3 Shots 8.5 · On target 4.3

Recent attacking output favours Portland Timbers, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Portland Timbers St. Louis City SC

Shots allowed 14.5 · On target allowed 5.8 Shots allowed 13.0 · On target allowed 3.8

St. Louis City SC has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Portland Timbers St. Louis City SC

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Away strengthening

Portland Timbers ↑ +0.41 (+19.0%)

St. Louis City SC ↓ -0.66 (-19.8%)

The away price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the away side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.