Los Angeles FC vs New York Red Bulls

10 Sep 2026 · 04:30

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +1.2 pp

Los Angeles FC

New York Red Bulls

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 68.7% DRAW 16.7% AWAY 14.5%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 67.5% 1.44 DRAW 17.9% 5.44 AWAY 14.6% 6.66

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 1.2 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Mixed Performance

Recent attacking and defensive numbers do not show a clear overall edge.

Attack Recent attacking output

Los Angeles FC New York Red Bulls

Shots 14.0 · On target 3.5 Shots 11.3 · On target 4.0

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Los Angeles FC New York Red Bulls

Shots allowed 14.0 · On target allowed 5.3 Shots allowed 15.0 · On target allowed 4.8

Recent defensive numbers are broadly balanced between the two teams.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Los Angeles FC New York Red Bulls

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Away weakening

Los Angeles FC ↓ -0.02 (-1.4%)

New York Red Bulls ↑ +1.00 (+17.7%)

The away price has moved clearly higher, while the home price has remained broadly stable.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.