Houston Dynamo vs Real Salt Lake

10 Sep 2026 · 02:30

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +0.8 pp

Houston Dynamo

Real Salt Lake

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 53.6% DRAW 24.1% AWAY 22.3%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 52.9% 1.85 DRAW 24.7% 3.96 AWAY 22.4% 4.36

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 0.8 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Real Salt Lake

Recent attacking and defensive numbers do not show a clear overall edge.

Attack Recent attacking output

Houston Dynamo Real Salt Lake

Shots 10.8 · On target 2.5 Shots 12.3 · On target 5.0

Recent attacking output favours Real Salt Lake, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Houston Dynamo Real Salt Lake

Shots allowed 11.8 · On target allowed 3.5 Shots allowed 16.0 · On target allowed 4.8

Houston Dynamo has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Houston Dynamo Real Salt Lake

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Away strengthening

Houston Dynamo ↑ +0.12 (+6.9%)

Real Salt Lake ↓ -0.37 (-7.7%)

The away price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the away side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.