Chicago Fire vs Inter Miami CF

10 Sep 2026 · 02:30

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +2.1 pp

Chicago Fire

Inter Miami CF

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 42.5% DRAW 21.9% AWAY 35.6%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 40.4% 2.40 DRAW 23.0% 4.23 AWAY 36.6% 2.65

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 2.1 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Chicago Fire

The home side shows the stronger recent attacking profile, while the defensive comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Chicago Fire Inter Miami CF

Shots 13.5 · On target 5.8 Shots 11.5 · On target 5.3

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Chicago Fire Inter Miami CF

Shots allowed 12.8 · On target allowed 4.8 Shots allowed 12.3 · On target allowed 4.8

Recent defensive numbers are broadly balanced between the two teams.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Chicago Fire Inter Miami CF

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Away strengthening

Chicago Fire ↑ +0.14 (+6.0%)

Inter Miami CF ↓ -0.21 (-7.3%)

The away price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the away side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.