Austin FC vs Colorado Rapids

10 Sep 2026 · 02:30

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +1.2 pp

Austin FC

Colorado Rapids

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 37.3% DRAW 27.4% AWAY 35.3%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 38.3% 2.60 DRAW 27.6% 3.60 AWAY 34.1% 2.92

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 1.2 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Austin FC

The away side shows the stronger recent defensive profile, while the attacking comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Austin FC Colorado Rapids

Shots 11.0 · On target 3.3 Shots 10.8 · On target 2.8

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Austin FC Colorado Rapids

Shots allowed 13.5 · On target allowed 5.0 Shots allowed 9.3 · On target allowed 3.0

Colorado Rapids has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Austin FC Colorado Rapids

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

Austin FC ↑ +0.08 (+3.0%)

Colorado Rapids ↑ +0.17 (+6.0%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.