Vancouver Whitecaps vs St. Louis City SC

06 Sep 2026 · 04:30

OPPORTUNITY

CLEAR EDGE HOME +5.0 pp

Vancouver Whitecaps

St. Louis City SC

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 70.8% DRAW 16.9% AWAY 12.2%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 65.9% 1.48 DRAW 19.2% 5.08 AWAY 15.0% 6.50

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet rates Vancouver Whitecaps clearly higher than the market does.

Our calibrated model estimates a 70.8% win probability, compared with 65.9% implied by the market. The 5.0 percentage-point difference indicates a clear divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

Vancouver Whitecaps has the stronger recent profile

The home side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

Vancouver Whitecaps St. Louis City SC

Shots 17.8 · On target 5.8 Shots 8.0 · On target 4.0

Recent attacking output favours Vancouver Whitecaps, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Vancouver Whitecaps St. Louis City SC

Shots allowed 6.0 · On target allowed 2.0 Shots allowed 10.8 · On target allowed 3.3

Vancouver Whitecaps has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Vancouver Whitecaps St. Louis City SC

The combined recent performance profile favours Vancouver Whitecaps.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Away strengthening

Vancouver Whitecaps ↑ +0.06 (+4.0%)

St. Louis City SC ↓ -0.51 (-7.3%)

The away price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the away side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.