Real Salt Lake vs Los Angeles FC

06 Sep 2026 · 03:30

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +0.7 pp

Real Salt Lake

Los Angeles FC

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 32.7% DRAW 25.6% AWAY 41.8%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 32.8% 2.95 DRAW 26.1% 3.72 AWAY 41.1% 2.36

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 0.7 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Defensive Edge: Los Angeles FC

Recent attacking and defensive numbers do not show a clear overall edge.

Attack Recent attacking output

Real Salt Lake Los Angeles FC

Shots 10.3 · On target 4.3 Shots 12.0 · On target 2.5

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Real Salt Lake Los Angeles FC

Shots allowed 14.3 · On target allowed 4.8 Shots allowed 10.8 · On target allowed 3.5

Los Angeles FC has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Real Salt Lake Los Angeles FC

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Away strengthening

Real Salt Lake ↑ +0.41 (+16.3%)

Los Angeles FC ↓ -0.23 (-8.9%)

The away price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the away side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.