Seattle Sounders vs New York Red Bulls

06 Sep 2026 · 02:30

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +2.3 pp

Seattle Sounders

New York Red Bulls

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 50.4% DRAW 22.7% AWAY 26.9%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 52.3% 1.86 DRAW 23.2% 4.20 AWAY 24.6% 3.96

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 2.3 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

New York Red Bulls has the stronger recent profile

The away side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

Seattle Sounders New York Red Bulls

Shots 11.3 · On target 3.5 Shots 12.0 · On target 3.5

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Seattle Sounders New York Red Bulls

Shots allowed 17.0 · On target allowed 6.8 Shots allowed 12.8 · On target allowed 4.0

New York Red Bulls has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Seattle Sounders New York Red Bulls

The combined recent performance profile favours New York Red Bulls.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

Seattle Sounders ↓ -0.02 (-0.8%)

New York Red Bulls ↑ +0.06 (+1.5%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.