FC Dallas vs Sporting Kansas City

06 Sep 2026 · 02:30

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +1.4 pp

FC Dallas

Sporting Kansas City

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 70.5% DRAW 16.8% AWAY 12.7%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 69.1% 1.40 DRAW 17.9% 5.41 AWAY 12.9% 7.50

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 1.4 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Mixed Performance

The overall recent shot balance favours the home side, although neither attack nor defence dominates every measure.

Attack Recent attacking output

FC Dallas Sporting Kansas City

Shots 9.8 · On target 5.0 Shots 9.8 · On target 2.0

Recent attacking output favours FC Dallas, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

FC Dallas Sporting Kansas City

Shots allowed 11.3 · On target allowed 6.0 Shots allowed 14.8 · On target allowed 3.5

Recent defensive numbers are broadly balanced between the two teams.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

FC Dallas Sporting Kansas City

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

FC Dallas ↓ -0.07 (-4.5%)

Sporting Kansas City ↑ +1.25 (+20.0%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.