Orlando City SC vs San Diego FC

06 Sep 2026 · 01:30

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +0.5 pp

Orlando City SC

San Diego FC

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 42.9% DRAW 23.6% AWAY 33.5%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 42.7% 2.27 DRAW 24.3% 3.99 AWAY 33.0% 2.94

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 0.5 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

San Diego FC has the stronger recent profile

The away side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

Orlando City SC San Diego FC

Shots 13.0 · On target 4.5 Shots 13.8 · On target 4.8

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Orlando City SC San Diego FC

Shots allowed 12.3 · On target allowed 5.3 Shots allowed 11.5 · On target allowed 4.5

Recent defensive numbers are broadly balanced between the two teams.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Orlando City SC San Diego FC

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Away strengthening

Orlando City SC ↑ +0.11 (+5.3%)

San Diego FC ↓ -0.16 (-5.2%)

The away price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the away side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.