Columbus Crew vs Colorado Rapids

06 Sep 2026 · 01:30

OPPORTUNITY

STRONG EDGE AWAY +6.7 pp

Columbus Crew

Colorado Rapids

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 36.4% DRAW 26.7% AWAY 36.9%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 43.0% 2.26 DRAW 26.8% 3.62 AWAY 30.3% 3.21

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet rates Colorado Rapids substantially higher than the market does.

Our calibrated model estimates a 36.9% win probability, compared with 30.3% implied by the market. The 6.7 percentage-point difference indicates a strong divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

Defensive Edge: Colorado Rapids

The away side shows the stronger recent defensive profile, while the attacking comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Columbus Crew Colorado Rapids

Shots 8.8 · On target 3.5 Shots 15.5 · On target 3.3

Recent attacking output favours Colorado Rapids, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Columbus Crew Colorado Rapids

Shots allowed 15.5 · On target allowed 9.0 Shots allowed 6.5 · On target allowed 2.0

Colorado Rapids has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Columbus Crew Colorado Rapids

The combined recent performance profile favours Colorado Rapids.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Away strengthening

Columbus Crew ↑ +0.28 (+13.9%)

Colorado Rapids ↓ -0.35 (-9.7%)

The away price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the away side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.