FC Cincinnati vs DC United

06 Sep 2026 · 01:30

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +2.0 pp

FC Cincinnati

DC United

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 60.6% DRAW 20.7% AWAY 18.7%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 58.6% 1.67 DRAW 21.8% 4.49 AWAY 19.6% 5.00

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 2.0 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: FC Cincinnati

The home side shows the stronger recent attacking profile, while the defensive comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

FC Cincinnati DC United

Shots 15.3 · On target 6.0 Shots 13.3 · On target 3.0

Recent attacking output favours FC Cincinnati, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

FC Cincinnati DC United

Shots allowed 15.5 · On target allowed 6.0 Shots allowed 16.0 · On target allowed 5.0

Recent defensive numbers are broadly balanced between the two teams.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

FC Cincinnati DC United

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

FC Cincinnati ↑ +0.09 (+6.0%)

DC United ↓ -0.01 (-0.2%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.