Charlotte FC vs Houston Dynamo

06 Sep 2026 · 01:30

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +0.3 pp

Charlotte FC

Houston Dynamo

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 43.4% DRAW 26.6% AWAY 30.0%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 43.2% 2.25 DRAW 27.0% 3.60 AWAY 29.9% 3.25

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 0.3 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Charlotte FC

Recent attacking and defensive numbers do not show a clear overall edge.

Attack Recent attacking output

Charlotte FC Houston Dynamo

Shots 11.8 · On target 6.0 Shots 9.0 · On target 2.3

Recent attacking output favours Charlotte FC, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Charlotte FC Houston Dynamo

Shots allowed 18.5 · On target allowed 4.0 Shots allowed 11.3 · On target allowed 2.8

Houston Dynamo has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Charlotte FC Houston Dynamo

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Away weakening

Charlotte FC ↓ -0.05 (-2.2%)

Houston Dynamo ↑ +0.27 (+9.1%)

The away price has moved clearly higher, while the home price has remained broadly stable.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.