Longford Town vs Kerry FC

05 Sep 2026 · 20:30

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +1.4 pp

Longford Town

Kerry FC

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 33.0% DRAW 26.2% AWAY 40.7%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 33.9% 2.84 DRAW 26.7% 3.61 AWAY 39.3% 2.45

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 1.4 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Kerry FC

The away side shows the stronger recent attacking profile, while the defensive comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Longford Town Kerry FC

Shots 7.3 · On target 3.3 Shots 9.5 · On target 5.8

Recent attacking output favours Kerry FC, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Longford Town Kerry FC

Shots allowed 12.5 · On target allowed 5.5 Shots allowed 10.8 · On target allowed 5.8

Recent defensive numbers are broadly balanced between the two teams.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Longford Town Kerry FC

The combined recent performance profile favours Kerry FC.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Away strengthening

Longford Town ↑ +0.51 (+21.9%)

Kerry FC ↓ -0.32 (-11.6%)

The away price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the away side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.