Galway (W) vs FC Treaty United (W)

05 Sep 2026 · 20:35

OPPORTUNITY

SLIGHT EDGE AWAY +3.2 pp

Galway (W)

FC Treaty United (W)

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 46.4% DRAW 26.7% AWAY 26.9%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 49.9% 1.85 DRAW 26.4% 3.50 AWAY 23.7% 3.90

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet sees a slight edge for FC Treaty United (W) relative to the market.

Our calibrated model estimates a 26.9% win probability, compared with 23.7% implied by the market. The 3.2 percentage-point difference suggests a modest divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: FC Treaty United (W)

The away side shows the stronger recent attacking profile, while the defensive comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Galway (W) FC Treaty United (W)

Shots 9.3 · On target 3.8 Shots 15.8 · On target 8.5

Recent attacking output favours FC Treaty United (W), combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Galway (W) FC Treaty United (W)

Shots allowed 5.8 · On target allowed 3.8 Shots allowed 6.0 · On target allowed 3.5

Recent defensive numbers are broadly balanced between the two teams.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Galway (W) FC Treaty United (W)

The combined recent performance profile favours FC Treaty United (W).

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Home weakening

Galway (W) ↑ +0.16 (+9.7%)

FC Treaty United (W) ↑ +0.04 (+0.9%)

The home price has moved clearly higher, while the away price has remained broadly stable.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.