Pitea IF (W) vs Vaxjo (W)

05 Sep 2026 · 12:30

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +0.5 pp

Pitea IF (W)

Vaxjo (W)

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 48.9% DRAW 24.6% AWAY 26.4%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 48.9% 1.90 DRAW 25.1% 3.70 AWAY 26.0% 3.58

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 0.5 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Vaxjo (W)

Recent attacking and defensive numbers do not show a clear overall edge.

Attack Recent attacking output

Pitea IF (W) Vaxjo (W)

Shots 6.3 · On target 3.5 Shots 7.8 · On target 4.5

Recent attacking output favours Vaxjo (W), combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Pitea IF (W) Vaxjo (W)

Shots allowed 11.8 · On target allowed 6.3 Shots allowed 13.5 · On target allowed 5.5

Recent defensive numbers are broadly balanced between the two teams.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Pitea IF (W) Vaxjo (W)

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

Pitea IF (W) = (0.0%)

Vaxjo (W) ↑ +0.02 (+0.6%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.