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Norway Eliteserien · NO

Lillestrom vs Aalesund

08 Nov 2026 · 17:00
FOOTBALL MATCH INTELLIGENCE · MATCH OVERVIEW

Match Overview

Model vs Market

The model identifies a slight model-market difference for a home win for Lillestrom. The difference indicates only a limited disagreement with market expectations.

Recent Performance

Recent match analysis is not yet available for this fixture. Additional context will appear as the underlying match data becomes available.

Pre-Match Betting Perspective

The available Pinnacle pre-match reference odds of 1.73 exceed the model's estimated fair odds of approximately 1.71. This suggests a potential pricing advantage for a home win for Lillestrom, although the difference alone is not enough to establish a reliable betting opportunity. The assessment applies only before kick-off.

Historical performance provides context rather than a prediction of the final result.

FOOTBALL MATCH INTELLIGENCE

Model vs Market

MARKET · PINNACLE
HOME MODEL > MARKET
Lillestrom
STOCHASTICBET 58.5%
PINNACLE 56.0% odd 1.73
DIFFERENCE +2.5 pp
DRAW
Draw
STOCHASTICBET 19.9%
PINNACLE 20.3% odd 4.76
DIFFERENCE -0.5 pp
AWAY
Aalesund
STOCHASTICBET 21.6%
PINNACLE 23.7% odd 4.09
DIFFERENCE -2.0 pp
STOCHASTICBET
PINNACLE MARKET
Market · PINNACLE Snapshot · 08 Nov 2026 · 16:01
PERFORMANCE · LAST 4 MATCHES

Lillestrom has the stronger recent profile

The home side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output
Lillestrom Aalesund
Shots 15.0 · On target 5.3 Shots 14.0 · On target 5.3

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance
Lillestrom Aalesund
Shots allowed 11.5 · On target allowed 4.8 Shots allowed 20.3 · On target allowed 5.5

Lillestrom has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence
Lillestrom Aalesund

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.