Tromso vs Ham-Kam

20 Sep 2026 · 17:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +1.8 pp

Tromso

Ham-Kam

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 69.0% DRAW 17.8% AWAY 13.2%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 67.2% 1.45 DRAW 19.0% 5.12 AWAY 13.8% 7.08

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 1.8 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Tromso has the stronger recent profile

The home side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

Tromso Ham-Kam

Shots 11.5 · On target 4.8 Shots 9.8 · On target 4.5

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Tromso Ham-Kam

Shots allowed 12.3 · On target allowed 5.0 Shots allowed 14.5 · On target allowed 6.3

Recent defensive numbers are broadly balanced between the two teams.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Tromso Ham-Kam

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

Tromso ↓ -0.07 (-4.6%)

Ham-Kam ↑ +0.97 (+15.9%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.