Rosenborg vs Tromso

12 Sep 2026 · 18:00

OPPORTUNITY

CLEAR EDGE HOME +4.1 pp

Rosenborg

Tromso

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 61.5% DRAW 21.7% AWAY 16.7%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 57.4% 1.68 DRAW 23.3% 4.15 AWAY 19.3% 5.01

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet rates Rosenborg clearly higher than the market does.

Our calibrated model estimates a 61.5% win probability, compared with 57.4% implied by the market. The 4.1 percentage-point difference indicates a clear divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

Rosenborg has the stronger recent profile

The home side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

Rosenborg Tromso

Shots 15.0 · On target 6.8 Shots 9.3 · On target 3.0

Recent attacking output favours Rosenborg, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Rosenborg Tromso

Shots allowed 13.3 · On target allowed 3.5 Shots allowed 14.8 · On target allowed 4.8

Rosenborg has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Rosenborg Tromso

The combined recent performance profile favours Rosenborg.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Home strengthening

Rosenborg ↓ -0.15 (-8.1%)

Tromso ↑ +0.82 (+19.6%)

The home price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the home side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.