Molde vs KFUM

06 Sep 2026 · 17:00

OPPORTUNITY

SLIGHT EDGE HOME +3.5 pp

Molde

KFUM

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 77.1% DRAW 13.9% AWAY 9.0%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 73.6% 1.31 DRAW 15.8% 6.10 AWAY 10.5% 9.15

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet sees a slight edge for Molde relative to the market.

Our calibrated model estimates a 77.1% win probability, compared with 73.6% implied by the market. The 3.5 percentage-point difference suggests a modest divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

Molde has the stronger recent profile

The home side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

Molde KFUM

Shots 18.3 · On target 8.5 Shots 12.0 · On target 4.8

Recent attacking output favours Molde, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Molde KFUM

Shots allowed 12.8 · On target allowed 3.5 Shots allowed 14.5 · On target allowed 5.3

Molde has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Molde KFUM

The combined recent performance profile favours Molde.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

Molde ↓ -0.06 (-4.4%)

KFUM ↑ +1.15 (+14.4%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.