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Norway Eliteserien · NO

Ham-Kam vs Sarpsborg

08 Nov 2026 · 17:00
FOOTBALL MATCH INTELLIGENCE · MATCH OVERVIEW

Match Overview

Model vs Market

The model identifies a moderate model-market difference for an away win for Sarpsborg. The model and market assessments show a noticeable divergence.

Recent Performance

Recent match analysis is not yet available for this fixture. Additional context will appear as the underlying match data becomes available.

Pre-Match Betting Perspective

The available Pinnacle pre-match reference odds of 2.34 exceed the model's estimated fair odds of approximately 2.24. This suggests a potential pricing advantage for an away win for Sarpsborg, although the difference alone is not enough to establish a reliable betting opportunity. The assessment applies only before kick-off.

Historical performance provides context rather than a prediction of the final result.

FOOTBALL MATCH INTELLIGENCE

Model vs Market

MARKET · PINNACLE
HOME
Ham-Kam
STOCHASTICBET 30.9%
PINNACLE 33.7% odd 2.88
DIFFERENCE -2.8 pp
DRAW
Draw
STOCHASTICBET 24.6%
PINNACLE 24.9% odd 3.90
DIFFERENCE -0.3 pp
AWAY MODEL > MARKET
Sarpsborg
STOCHASTICBET 44.6%
PINNACLE 41.5% odd 2.34
DIFFERENCE +3.1 pp
STOCHASTICBET
PINNACLE MARKET
Market · PINNACLE Snapshot · 08 Nov 2026 · 16:01
PERFORMANCE · LAST 4 MATCHES

Sarpsborg has the stronger recent profile

The away side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output
Ham-Kam Sarpsborg
Shots 10.8 · On target 3.0 Shots 19.3 · On target 5.0

Recent attacking output favours Sarpsborg, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance
Ham-Kam Sarpsborg
Shots allowed 15.5 · On target allowed 6.5 Shots allowed 11.0 · On target allowed 4.8

Sarpsborg has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence
Ham-Kam Sarpsborg

The combined recent performance profile favours Sarpsborg.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.