Sandefjord vs IK Start

20 Sep 2026 · 17:00

OPPORTUNITY

CLEAR EDGE AWAY +4.4 pp

Sandefjord

IK Start

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 39.7% DRAW 26.9% AWAY 33.4%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 44.1% 2.24 DRAW 26.9% 3.67 AWAY 29.0% 3.40

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet rates IK Start clearly higher than the market does.

Our calibrated model estimates a 33.4% win probability, compared with 29.0% implied by the market. The 4.4 percentage-point difference indicates a clear divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

IK Start has the stronger recent profile

The away side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

Sandefjord IK Start

Shots 15.3 · On target 4.8 Shots 20.3 · On target 7.3

Recent attacking output favours IK Start, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Sandefjord IK Start

Shots allowed 19.5 · On target allowed 6.3 Shots allowed 13.0 · On target allowed 4.8

IK Start has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Sandefjord IK Start

The combined recent performance profile favours IK Start.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

Sandefjord ↑ +0.18 (+8.5%)

IK Start ↓ -0.14 (-4.0%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.