Odd BK (W) vs IK Start (W)

13 Sep 2026 · 13:00

OPPORTUNITY

SLIGHT EDGE HOME +3.5 pp

Odd BK (W)

IK Start (W)

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 23.0% DRAW 20.8% AWAY 56.2%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 19.5% 5.01 DRAW 20.7% 4.72 AWAY 59.7% 1.64

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet sees a slight edge for Odd BK (W) relative to the market.

Our calibrated model estimates a 23.0% win probability, compared with 19.5% implied by the market. The 3.5 percentage-point difference suggests a modest divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: IK Start (W)

The home side shows the stronger recent defensive profile, while the attacking comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Odd BK (W) IK Start (W)

Shots 17.8 · On target 6.8 Shots 18.8 · On target 7.3

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Odd BK (W) IK Start (W)

Shots allowed 9.0 · On target allowed 3.0 Shots allowed 13.8 · On target allowed 6.8

Odd BK (W) has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Odd BK (W) IK Start (W)

The combined recent performance profile favours Odd BK (W).

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Away strengthening

Odd BK (W) ↑ +1.86 (+59.0%)

IK Start (W) ↓ -0.29 (-15.0%)

The away price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the away side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.