Lyn 1896 vs Egersund

06 Sep 2026 · 17:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +1.8 pp

Lyn 1896

Egersund

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 50.2% DRAW 23.7% AWAY 26.1%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 48.4% 1.97 DRAW 24.6% 3.88 AWAY 27.1% 3.52

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 1.8 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Defensive Edge: Lyn 1896

The home side shows the stronger recent defensive profile, while the attacking comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Lyn 1896 Egersund

Shots 9.0 · On target 6.3 Shots 14.0 · On target 5.5

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Lyn 1896 Egersund

Shots allowed 9.0 · On target allowed 4.0 Shots allowed 14.3 · On target allowed 5.8

Lyn 1896 has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Lyn 1896 Egersund

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Home strengthening

Lyn 1896 ↓ -0.14 (-6.6%)

Egersund ↑ +0.50 (+16.6%)

The home price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the home side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.