Odd BK vs Egersund

20 Sep 2026 · 17:00

OPPORTUNITY

SLIGHT EDGE HOME +3.9 pp

Odd BK

Egersund

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 56.6% DRAW 20.9% AWAY 22.5%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 52.7% 1.81 DRAW 22.4% 4.25 AWAY 24.9% 3.82

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet sees a slight edge for Odd BK relative to the market.

Our calibrated model estimates a 56.6% win probability, compared with 52.7% implied by the market. The 3.9 percentage-point difference suggests a modest divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

Odd BK has the stronger recent profile

The home side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

Odd BK Egersund

Shots 18.0 · On target 6.8 Shots 11.0 · On target 5.3

Recent attacking output favours Odd BK, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Odd BK Egersund

Shots allowed 10.5 · On target allowed 4.8 Shots allowed 11.3 · On target allowed 5.0

Recent defensive numbers are broadly balanced between the two teams.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Odd BK Egersund

The combined recent performance profile favours Odd BK.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

Odd BK ↑ +0.09 (+5.0%)

Egersund ↓ -0.12 (-3.0%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.