Kongsvinger vs Hodd

20 Sep 2026 · 17:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +1.8 pp

Kongsvinger

Hodd

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 75.5% DRAW 14.7% AWAY 9.8%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 73.7% 1.30 DRAW 16.0% 6.00 AWAY 10.3% 9.28

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 1.8 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Kongsvinger

The home side shows the stronger recent attacking profile, while the defensive comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Kongsvinger Hodd

Shots 13.3 · On target 7.3 Shots 8.3 · On target 3.3

Recent attacking output favours Kongsvinger, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Kongsvinger Hodd

Shots allowed 13.0 · On target allowed 6.3 Shots allowed 12.3 · On target allowed 4.5

Recent defensive numbers are broadly balanced between the two teams.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Kongsvinger Hodd

The combined recent performance profile favours Kongsvinger.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

Kongsvinger ↑ +0.02 (+1.9%)

Hodd ↑ +0.28 (+3.1%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.