Bryne vs Stabaek

12 Sep 2026 · 20:00

OPPORTUNITY

SLIGHT EDGE AWAY +2.5 pp

Bryne

Stabaek

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 26.3% DRAW 23.9% AWAY 49.9%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 27.9% 3.51 DRAW 24.7% 3.96 AWAY 47.3% 2.07

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet sees a slight edge for Stabaek relative to the market.

Our calibrated model estimates a 49.9% win probability, compared with 47.3% implied by the market. The 2.5 percentage-point difference suggests a modest divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Stabaek

The away side shows the stronger recent attacking profile, while the defensive comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Bryne Stabaek

Shots 8.5 · On target 3.3 Shots 18.0 · On target 7.3

Recent attacking output favours Stabaek, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Bryne Stabaek

Shots allowed 7.0 · On target allowed 3.3 Shots allowed 9.8 · On target allowed 3.8

Bryne has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Bryne Stabaek

The combined recent performance profile favours Stabaek.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

Bryne ↑ +0.47 (+15.5%)

Stabaek ↓ -0.08 (-3.7%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.