Varbergs BoIS FC vs IFK Norrkoping

10 Sep 2026 · 19:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +2.3 pp

Varbergs BoIS FC

IFK Norrkoping

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 25.3% DRAW 26.2% AWAY 48.5%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 27.1% 3.54 DRAW 26.8% 3.58 AWAY 46.1% 2.08

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 2.3 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

IFK Norrkoping has the stronger recent profile

The away side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

Varbergs BoIS FC IFK Norrkoping

Shots 11.0 · On target 5.0 Shots 17.3 · On target 7.8

Recent attacking output favours IFK Norrkoping, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Varbergs BoIS FC IFK Norrkoping

Shots allowed 11.5 · On target allowed 4.8 Shots allowed 11.3 · On target allowed 3.8

Recent defensive numbers are broadly balanced between the two teams.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Varbergs BoIS FC IFK Norrkoping

The combined recent performance profile favours IFK Norrkoping.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

Varbergs BoIS FC ↓ -0.03 (-0.8%)

IFK Norrkoping ↑ +0.11 (+5.6%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.