IFK Varnamo vs Varbergs BoIS FC

05 Sep 2026 · 13:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +0.8 pp

IFK Varnamo

Varbergs BoIS FC

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 37.9% DRAW 26.3% AWAY 35.8%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 38.3% 2.49 DRAW 26.7% 3.57 AWAY 35.0% 2.73

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 0.8 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Varbergs BoIS FC

The away side shows the stronger recent attacking profile, while the defensive comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

IFK Varnamo Varbergs BoIS FC

Shots 8.5 · On target 3.5 Shots 11.0 · On target 5.0

Recent attacking output favours Varbergs BoIS FC, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

IFK Varnamo Varbergs BoIS FC

Shots allowed 11.0 · On target allowed 5.0 Shots allowed 12.0 · On target allowed 4.3

Recent defensive numbers are broadly balanced between the two teams.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

IFK Varnamo Varbergs BoIS FC

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Away strengthening

IFK Varnamo ↑ +0.18 (+7.8%)

Varbergs BoIS FC ↓ -0.22 (-7.5%)

The away price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the away side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.