Norrby IF vs Varbergs BoIS FC

14 Sep 2026 · 19:00

OPPORTUNITY

SLIGHT EDGE HOME +2.6 pp

Norrby IF

Varbergs BoIS FC

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 34.9% DRAW 25.9% AWAY 39.2%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 32.3% 3.00 DRAW 26.2% 3.69 AWAY 41.5% 2.33

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet sees a slight edge for Norrby IF relative to the market.

Our calibrated model estimates a 34.9% win probability, compared with 32.3% implied by the market. The 2.6 percentage-point difference suggests a modest divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Norrby IF

The home side shows the stronger recent attacking profile, while the defensive comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Norrby IF Varbergs BoIS FC

Shots 12.3 · On target 5.3 Shots 9.3 · On target 3.8

Recent attacking output favours Norrby IF, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Norrby IF Varbergs BoIS FC

Shots allowed 11.8 · On target allowed 4.8 Shots allowed 12.3 · On target allowed 4.5

Recent defensive numbers are broadly balanced between the two teams.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Norrby IF Varbergs BoIS FC

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

Norrby IF ↑ +0.08 (+2.8%)

Varbergs BoIS FC ↑ +0.16 (+7.4%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.