Ljungskile vs Norrby IF

09 Sep 2026 · 19:00

OPPORTUNITY

SLIGHT EDGE AWAY +2.8 pp

Ljungskile

Norrby IF

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 45.4% DRAW 24.3% AWAY 30.3%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 47.9% 2.01 DRAW 24.7% 3.90 AWAY 27.5% 3.50

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet sees a slight edge for Norrby IF relative to the market.

Our calibrated model estimates a 30.3% win probability, compared with 27.5% implied by the market. The 2.8 percentage-point difference suggests a modest divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

Norrby IF has the stronger recent profile

The away side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

Ljungskile Norrby IF

Shots 12.0 · On target 5.3 Shots 15.8 · On target 7.0

Recent attacking output favours Norrby IF, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Ljungskile Norrby IF

Shots allowed 12.5 · On target allowed 5.5 Shots allowed 9.5 · On target allowed 4.3

Norrby IF has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Ljungskile Norrby IF

The combined recent performance profile favours Norrby IF.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Away strengthening

Ljungskile ↑ +0.11 (+5.7%)

Norrby IF ↓ -0.23 (-6.3%)

The away price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the away side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.