Djurgarden vs GAIS

14 Sep 2026 · 19:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +1.0 pp

Djurgarden

GAIS

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 64.9% DRAW 20.5% AWAY 14.5%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 63.9% 1.50 DRAW 21.3% 4.50 AWAY 14.8% 6.50

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 1.0 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: GAIS

The home side shows the stronger recent defensive profile, while the attacking comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Djurgarden GAIS

Shots 13.8 · On target 7.0 Shots 15.8 · On target 7.3

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Djurgarden GAIS

Shots allowed 7.8 · On target allowed 2.0 Shots allowed 11.5 · On target allowed 3.5

Djurgarden has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Djurgarden GAIS

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Home strengthening

Djurgarden ↓ -0.09 (-5.7%)

GAIS ↑ +1.11 (+20.6%)

The home price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the home side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.