Sirius vs Degerfors

14 Sep 2026 · 19:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +1.5 pp

Sirius

Degerfors

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 64.0% DRAW 21.5% AWAY 14.5%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 65.7% 1.48 DRAW 21.3% 4.57 AWAY 13.0% 7.50

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 1.5 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Degerfors has the stronger recent profile

The away side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

Sirius Degerfors

Shots 11.0 · On target 3.5 Shots 12.0 · On target 4.8

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Sirius Degerfors

Shots allowed 13.3 · On target allowed 4.5 Shots allowed 10.0 · On target allowed 4.0

Recent defensive numbers are broadly balanced between the two teams.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Sirius Degerfors

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

Sirius ↑ +0.06 (+4.2%)

Degerfors ↑ +0.12 (+1.6%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.