UAI Urquiza vs Argentino Merlo

06 Sep 2026 · 20:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +1.1 pp

UAI Urquiza

Argentino Merlo

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 34.0% DRAW 34.3% AWAY 31.8%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 32.9% 2.85 DRAW 33.4% 2.80 AWAY 33.7% 2.78

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 1.1 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Mixed Performance

The overall recent shot balance favours the home side, although neither attack nor defence dominates every measure.

Attack Recent attacking output

UAI Urquiza Argentino Merlo

Shots 7.3 · On target 3.0 Shots 7.5 · On target 1.8

Recent attacking output favours UAI Urquiza, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

UAI Urquiza Argentino Merlo

Shots allowed 11.5 · On target allowed 4.5 Shots allowed 14.3 · On target allowed 4.3

Recent defensive numbers are broadly balanced between the two teams.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

UAI Urquiza Argentino Merlo

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

UAI Urquiza ↓ -0.09 (-3.1%)

Argentino Merlo ↑ +0.36 (+14.9%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.