Deportivo Laferrere vs Villa San Carlos

12 Sep 2026 · 20:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +0.9 pp

Deportivo Laferrere

Villa San Carlos

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 43.9% DRAW 30.9% AWAY 25.3%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 42.9% 2.15 DRAW 30.7% 3.01 AWAY 26.4% 3.50

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 0.9 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Deportivo Laferrere

The home side shows the stronger recent attacking profile, while the defensive comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Deportivo Laferrere Villa San Carlos

Shots 13.5 · On target 4.8 Shots 8.5 · On target 3.3

Recent attacking output favours Deportivo Laferrere, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Deportivo Laferrere Villa San Carlos

Shots allowed 8.3 · On target allowed 3.8 Shots allowed 6.5 · On target allowed 2.3

Villa San Carlos has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Deportivo Laferrere Villa San Carlos

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

Deportivo Laferrere = (0.0%)

Villa San Carlos ↓ -0.16 (-4.2%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.