CA Atlanta vs CA Guemes

12 Sep 2026 · 20:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +1.1 pp

CA Atlanta

CA Guemes

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 53.7% DRAW 28.5% AWAY 17.8%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 55.5% 1.71 DRAW 27.7% 3.42 AWAY 16.8% 5.66

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 1.1 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

CA Guemes has the stronger recent profile

The away side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

CA Atlanta CA Guemes

Shots 6.0 · On target 1.8 Shots 7.3 · On target 2.0

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

CA Atlanta CA Guemes

Shots allowed 11.5 · On target allowed 4.8 Shots allowed 8.3 · On target allowed 4.8

Recent defensive numbers are broadly balanced between the two teams.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

CA Atlanta CA Guemes

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Away strengthening

CA Atlanta = (0.0%)

CA Guemes ↓ -0.59 (-9.4%)

The away price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the away side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.