Deportivo Espanol vs Fenix

06 Sep 2026 · 20:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +2.2 pp

Deportivo Espanol

Fenix

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 52.6% DRAW 30.2% AWAY 17.2%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 50.4% 1.96 DRAW 30.4% 3.25 AWAY 19.2% 5.13

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 2.2 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Deportivo Espanol has the stronger recent profile

The home side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

Deportivo Espanol Fenix

Shots 8.8 · On target 3.0 Shots 5.3 · On target 2.5

Recent attacking output favours Deportivo Espanol, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Deportivo Espanol Fenix

Shots allowed 5.0 · On target allowed 1.8 Shots allowed 8.8 · On target allowed 3.8

Deportivo Espanol has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Deportivo Espanol Fenix

The combined recent performance profile favours Deportivo Espanol.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Home weakening

Deportivo Espanol ↑ +0.18 (+10.1%)

Fenix ↑ +0.13 (+2.6%)

The home price has moved clearly higher, while the away price has remained broadly stable.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.