Club Mercedes vs Deportivo Espanol

11 Sep 2026 · 00:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +1.7 pp

Club Mercedes

Deportivo Espanol

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 23.1% DRAW 33.0% AWAY 43.9%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 25.2% 3.82 DRAW 32.6% 2.95 AWAY 42.2% 2.28

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 1.7 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Defensive Edge: Deportivo Espanol

The away side shows the stronger recent defensive profile, while the attacking comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Club Mercedes Deportivo Espanol

Shots 7.3 · On target 4.8 Shots 9.5 · On target 4.3

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Club Mercedes Deportivo Espanol

Shots allowed 10.5 · On target allowed 4.0 Shots allowed 4.3 · On target allowed 1.3

Deportivo Espanol has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Club Mercedes Deportivo Espanol

The combined recent performance profile favours Deportivo Espanol.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

Club Mercedes = (0.0%)

Deportivo Espanol = (0.0%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.