CA Atlas vs Sportivo Barracas

26 Sep 2026 · 22:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +0.5 pp

CA Atlas

Sportivo Barracas

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 39.1% DRAW 29.4% AWAY 31.5%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 38.6% 2.28 DRAW 29.4% 3.00 AWAY 32.0% 2.75

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 0.5 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: CA Atlas

Recent attacking and defensive numbers do not show a clear overall edge.

Attack Recent attacking output

CA Atlas Sportivo Barracas

Shots 11.5 · On target 4.5 Shots 8.8 · On target 2.8

Recent attacking output favours CA Atlas, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

CA Atlas Sportivo Barracas

Shots allowed 14.0 · On target allowed 3.8 Shots allowed 9.8 · On target allowed 3.3

Sportivo Barracas has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

CA Atlas Sportivo Barracas

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

CA Atlas = (0.0%)

Sportivo Barracas = (0.0%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.