Juventud Unida San Miguel vs El Porvenir

12 Sep 2026 · 20:00

OPPORTUNITY

Juventud Unida San Miguel

El Porvenir

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 37.1% DRAW 35.4% AWAY 27.4%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 37.2% 2.55 DRAW 34.5% 2.75 AWAY 28.4% 3.34

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 0.0 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Juventud Unida San Miguel

Recent attacking and defensive numbers do not show a clear overall edge.

Attack Recent attacking output

Juventud Unida San Miguel El Porvenir

Shots 9.3 · On target 3.8 Shots 3.5 · On target 1.8

Recent attacking output favours Juventud Unida San Miguel, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Juventud Unida San Miguel El Porvenir

Shots allowed 7.0 · On target allowed 4.3 Shots allowed 3.3 · On target allowed 1.5

El Porvenir has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Juventud Unida San Miguel El Porvenir

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

Juventud Unida San Miguel ↑ +0.13 (+5.4%)

El Porvenir ↑ +0.24 (+7.7%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.