Deportivo Espanol vs Central Ballester

26 Sep 2026 · 20:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +1.5 pp

Deportivo Espanol

Central Ballester

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 57.2% DRAW 28.9% AWAY 13.9%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 55.7% 1.67 DRAW 29.0% 3.20 AWAY 15.2% 6.09

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 1.5 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Deportivo Espanol has the stronger recent profile

The home side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

Deportivo Espanol Central Ballester

Shots 10.3 · On target 4.5 Shots 6.3 · On target 2.8

Recent attacking output favours Deportivo Espanol, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Deportivo Espanol Central Ballester

Shots allowed 4.0 · On target allowed 1.0 Shots allowed 5.8 · On target allowed 2.0

Deportivo Espanol has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Deportivo Espanol Central Ballester

The combined recent performance profile favours Deportivo Espanol.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Home strengthening

Deportivo Espanol ↓ -0.26 (-13.7%)

Central Ballester ↑ +2.39 (+64.6%)

The home price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the home side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.